How predictive is traditional ecological knowledge? the case of the lacandon maya fallow enrichment system

The ability to predict through causal understandingor statistical association is a key feature of scientific knowledge. However,the predictive power of traditionalecological knowledge in an observationalsetting is rarely critically evaluated. Weanalyze the results of an applied casestudy of indigeno...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: John Duncan Golicher; Samuel Israel Levy Tacher
Format: Article
Status:Published version
Publication date:2004
Country:México
Institution:ECOSUR
Repository:Redalyc-ECOSUR
OAI Identifier:oai:redalyc.org:33909605
Online Access:https://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=33909605
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Multidisciplinarias (Ciencias Sociales)
Lacandon
Restoration
Epistemology
Ochroma pyramidale
Soil Organic Matter
Description
Summary:The ability to predict through causal understandingor statistical association is a key feature of scientific knowledge. However,the predictive power of traditionalecological knowledge in an observationalsetting is rarely critically evaluated. Weanalyze the results of an applied casestudy of indigenous fallow management inthe context of its predictive power. In orderto do this we applied three contrastingstatistical analyses; visual pattern matching,general linear modelling and graphicalmodels. Our results suggest that a degreeof abduction or a posteriori explanationis typically needed in the analysis ofthe observations of natural phenomenathat indigenous people make. Despite this,contextually useful predictive power maybe extracted from such informationthrough a combination of experience, deductionand probabilistic induction. Thepresent case study suggested that the traditionalecological knowledge of theLacandon people could provide usefulguidance for the restoration of ecosystemfunction. In particular, the results supportthe use of Ochroma pyramidale as a soilenriching agent.