Stochastic model predictive control based on Gaussian processes applied to drinking water networks

This study focuses on developing a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) strategy based on Gaussian processes (GPs) for propagating system disturbances in a receding horizon way. Using a probabilistic system representation, the state trajectories considering the influence of disturbances can be...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Wang, Ye|||0000-0003-1395-1676; Ocampo-Martínez, Carlos|||0000-0001-9251-6044; Puig Cayuela, Vicenç|||0000-0002-6364-6429
Format: Article
Publication date:2016
Country:España
Institution:Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
Repository:UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/89276
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/2117/89276
https://dx.doi.org/10.1049/iet-cta.2015.0657
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:automation
control theory
optimisation
stochastic model predictive control
Gaussian processes
disturbance forecasting
drinking water networks
Classificació INSPEC::Control theory
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Informàtica::Automàtica i control
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author Wang, Ye|||0000-0003-1395-1676
author2 Ocampo-Martínez, Carlos|||0000-0001-9251-6044
Puig Cayuela, Vicenç|||0000-0002-6364-6429
author2_role author
author
author_browse Ocampo-Martínez, Carlos|||0000-0001-9251-6044
Puig Cayuela, Vicenç|||0000-0002-6364-6429
Wang, Ye|||0000-0003-1395-1676
author_facet Wang, Ye|||0000-0003-1395-1676
Ocampo-Martínez, Carlos|||0000-0001-9251-6044
Puig Cayuela, Vicenç|||0000-0002-6364-6429
author_role author
collection UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
description This study focuses on developing a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) strategy based on Gaussian processes (GPs) for propagating system disturbances in a receding horizon way. Using a probabilistic system representation, the state trajectories considering the influence of disturbances can be obtained through the uncertainty propagation by using GPs. This fact allows obtaining the confidence intervals for state evolutions over the MPC prediction horizon that are included into the MPC objective function and constraints. The feasibility of the proposed MPC strategy considering the incorporated results of disturbance forecasting is also discussed. Simulation results obtained from the application of the proposed approach to the Barcelona drinking water network taking real demand data into account are presented. The comparison with the well-known certainty-equivalent MPC shows the effectiveness of the proposed stochastic MPC approach.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format article
id ES_febc79e80cf5bfc8d017df7af2afff87
institution Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
instname_str Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC)
language eng
network_acronym_str ES
network_name_str España
oai_identifier_str oai:upcommons.upc.edu:2117/89276
publishDate 2016
publishDateSort 2016
reponame_str UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPC
spelling Stochastic model predictive control based on Gaussian processes applied to drinking water networks Wang, Ye|||0000-0003-1395-1676 Ocampo-Martínez, Carlos|||0000-0001-9251-6044 Puig Cayuela, Vicenç|||0000-0002-6364-6429 automation control theory optimisation stochastic model predictive control Gaussian processes disturbance forecasting drinking water networks Classificació INSPEC::Control theory Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Informàtica::Automàtica i control This study focuses on developing a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) strategy based on Gaussian processes (GPs) for propagating system disturbances in a receding horizon way. Using a probabilistic system representation, the state trajectories considering the influence of disturbances can be obtained through the uncertainty propagation by using GPs. This fact allows obtaining the confidence intervals for state evolutions over the MPC prediction horizon that are included into the MPC objective function and constraints. The feasibility of the proposed MPC strategy considering the incorporated results of disturbance forecasting is also discussed. Simulation results obtained from the application of the proposed approach to the Barcelona drinking water network taking real demand data into account are presented. The comparison with the well-known certainty-equivalent MPC shows the effectiveness of the proposed stochastic MPC approach. Peer Reviewed https://hdl.handle.net/2117/89276 https://dx.doi.org/10.1049/iet-cta.2015.0657
spellingShingle Stochastic model predictive control based on Gaussian processes applied to drinking water networks
Wang, Ye|||0000-0003-1395-1676
automation
control theory
optimisation
stochastic model predictive control
Gaussian processes
disturbance forecasting
drinking water networks
Classificació INSPEC::Control theory
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Informàtica::Automàtica i control
title Stochastic model predictive control based on Gaussian processes applied to drinking water networks
title_full Stochastic model predictive control based on Gaussian processes applied to drinking water networks
title_fullStr Stochastic model predictive control based on Gaussian processes applied to drinking water networks
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic model predictive control based on Gaussian processes applied to drinking water networks
title_short Stochastic model predictive control based on Gaussian processes applied to drinking water networks
title_sort Stochastic model predictive control based on Gaussian processes applied to drinking water networks
topic automation
control theory
optimisation
stochastic model predictive control
Gaussian processes
disturbance forecasting
drinking water networks
Classificació INSPEC::Control theory
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Informàtica::Automàtica i control
topic_facet automation
control theory
optimisation
stochastic model predictive control
Gaussian processes
disturbance forecasting
drinking water networks
Classificació INSPEC::Control theory
Àrees temàtiques de la UPC::Informàtica::Automàtica i control
url https://hdl.handle.net/2117/89276
https://dx.doi.org/10.1049/iet-cta.2015.0657