Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population

[EN] Electronic commerce (EC) has numerous advantages. It allows saving time when we purchase an item, offers the possibility of review without depending on the schedules of traditional stores, access to a wider variety and quantity of articles, in many cases, with lower prices, etc. Based upon math...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores: Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263; Cortés, J.-C.|||0000-0002-6528-2155; Villanueva Micó, Rafael Jacinto|||0000-0002-0131-0532; Martínez-Rodríguez, David
Tipo de documento: Artículo
Fecha de publicación:2019
País:España
Institución:Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
Repositorio:RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
Lenguaje:Inglés
OAI Identifier:oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/139655
Acceso en línea:https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/139655
Nivel de acceso:Acceso abierto
Palabra clave:Electronic Commerce
Real-world mathematical model
Nonlinear system of difference equations
Uncertainty quantification
MATEMATICA APLICADA
_version_ 1878740600918900736
author Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263
author2 Cortés, J.-C.|||0000-0002-6528-2155
Villanueva Micó, Rafael Jacinto|||0000-0002-0131-0532
Martínez-Rodríguez, David
author2_role author
author
author
author_browse Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263
Cortés, J.-C.|||0000-0002-6528-2155
Martínez-Rodríguez, David
Villanueva Micó, Rafael Jacinto|||0000-0002-0131-0532
author_facet Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263
Cortés, J.-C.|||0000-0002-6528-2155
Villanueva Micó, Rafael Jacinto|||0000-0002-0131-0532
Martínez-Rodríguez, David
author_role author
collection RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
description [EN] Electronic commerce (EC) has numerous advantages. It allows saving time when we purchase an item, offers the possibility of review without depending on the schedules of traditional stores, access to a wider variety and quantity of articles, in many cases, with lower prices, etc. Based upon mathematical epidemiology tenets strongly related to social behavior able to describe the influence of peers, in this paper we propose an age-group dynamic model with population varying size based on a system of difference equations to study the evolution of the frequent users of EC over time in Spain. Using data from surveys retrieved from the Spanish National Statistics Institute, we use and design computational algorithms to perform a probabilistic estimation of the model parameters that allow the model output to capture the data uncertainty. Then, we will be able to perform a precise prediction with uncertainty.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format article
id ES_d5fae41a6cd15e9c1efffa648982eb80
institution Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
instname_str Universitat Politècnica de València (UPV)
language eng
network_acronym_str ES
network_name_str España
oai_identifier_str oai:riunet.upv.es:10251/139655
publishDate 2019
publishDateSort 2019
publisher World Scientific
publisherStr World Scientific
reponame_str RiuNet. Repositorio Institucional de la Universitat Politécnica de Valéncia
spelling Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263 Cortés, J.-C.|||0000-0002-6528-2155 Villanueva Micó, Rafael Jacinto|||0000-0002-0131-0532 Martínez-Rodríguez, David Electronic Commerce Real-world mathematical model Nonlinear system of difference equations Uncertainty quantification MATEMATICA APLICADA [EN] Electronic commerce (EC) has numerous advantages. It allows saving time when we purchase an item, offers the possibility of review without depending on the schedules of traditional stores, access to a wider variety and quantity of articles, in many cases, with lower prices, etc. Based upon mathematical epidemiology tenets strongly related to social behavior able to describe the influence of peers, in this paper we propose an age-group dynamic model with population varying size based on a system of difference equations to study the evolution of the frequent users of EC over time in Spain. Using data from surveys retrieved from the Spanish National Statistics Institute, we use and design computational algorithms to perform a probabilistic estimation of the model parameters that allow the model output to capture the data uncertainty. Then, we will be able to perform a precise prediction with uncertainty. This work has been partially supported by the Ministerio de Economia y Competitividad grant MTM2017-89664-P and by the European Union through the Operational Program of the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF)/European Social Fund (ESF) of the Valencian Community 2014-2020, grants GJIDI/2018/A/009 and GJIDI/2018/A/010. World Scientific https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/139655
spellingShingle Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
Burgos-Simon, Clara|||0000-0001-6385-4263
Electronic Commerce
Real-world mathematical model
Nonlinear system of difference equations
Uncertainty quantification
MATEMATICA APLICADA
title Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
title_full Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
title_fullStr Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
title_full_unstemmed Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
title_short Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
title_sort Computational modelling with uncertainty of frequent users of e-commerce in Spain using an age-group dynamic nonlinear model with varying size population
topic Electronic Commerce
Real-world mathematical model
Nonlinear system of difference equations
Uncertainty quantification
MATEMATICA APLICADA
topic_facet Electronic Commerce
Real-world mathematical model
Nonlinear system of difference equations
Uncertainty quantification
MATEMATICA APLICADA
url https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/139655