A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets

This paper departs from previous research in dealing with dimensionality reduction in the space of international term structure slopes. Recent empirical work has documented the existence of information in the slope of the term structure which is relevant to forecast future changes in economic activi...

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Authors: Novales Cinca, Alfonso Santiago; Domínguez Irastorza, Emilio
Format: Report
Publication date:2002
Country:España
Institution:Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
Repository:Docta Complutense
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/64514
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/64514
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:E37
E43
Term structure of interest rates
Term structure slope
Principal components
Eurocurrencies
Mercados bursátiles y financieros
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author Novales Cinca, Alfonso Santiago
author2 Domínguez Irastorza, Emilio
author2_role author
author_browse Domínguez Irastorza, Emilio
Novales Cinca, Alfonso Santiago
author_facet Novales Cinca, Alfonso Santiago
Domínguez Irastorza, Emilio
author_role author
collection Docta Complutense
description This paper departs from previous research in dealing with dimensionality reduction in the space of international term structure slopes. Recent empirical work has documented the existence of information in the slope of the term structure which is relevant to forecast future changes in economic activity, and it is additional to information in past economic activity, inflation, or in any leading indicator index [see Estrella and Hardouvelis (1991), Stock and Watson (1988), Hardouvelis (1994) and Plosser and Rouwenhorst (1994), among others]. This implies that a good forecasting model of term structure slopes could be helpful to anticipate changes in economic activity with an even longer anticipation.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format report
id ES_d3bc47e044f96098103cdccaf8ec8232
institution Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
instname_str Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM)
language eng
network_acronym_str ES
network_name_str España
oai_identifier_str oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/64514
publishDate 2002
publishDateSort 2002
publisher Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico. Universidad Complutense de Madrid
publisherStr Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico. Universidad Complutense de Madrid
reponame_str Docta Complutense
spelling A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets Novales Cinca, Alfonso Santiago Domínguez Irastorza, Emilio E37 E43 Term structure of interest rates Term structure slope Principal components Eurocurrencies Mercados bursátiles y financieros This paper departs from previous research in dealing with dimensionality reduction in the space of international term structure slopes. Recent empirical work has documented the existence of information in the slope of the term structure which is relevant to forecast future changes in economic activity, and it is additional to information in past economic activity, inflation, or in any leading indicator index [see Estrella and Hardouvelis (1991), Stock and Watson (1988), Hardouvelis (1994) and Plosser and Rouwenhorst (1994), among others]. This implies that a good forecasting model of term structure slopes could be helpful to anticipate changes in economic activity with an even longer anticipation. Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico. Universidad Complutense de Madrid https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/64514
spellingShingle A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets
Novales Cinca, Alfonso Santiago
E37
E43
Term structure of interest rates
Term structure slope
Principal components
Eurocurrencies
Mercados bursátiles y financieros
title A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets
title_full A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets
title_fullStr A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets
title_full_unstemmed A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets
title_short A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets
title_sort A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets
topic E37
E43
Term structure of interest rates
Term structure slope
Principal components
Eurocurrencies
Mercados bursátiles y financieros
topic_facet E37
E43
Term structure of interest rates
Term structure slope
Principal components
Eurocurrencies
Mercados bursátiles y financieros
url https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/64514