Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere

Climatic warming has greatly increased vegetation productivity in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere since the 1980s, but how long this positive relationship will continue remains unknown. Here we show changes in the effect of warming on Northern Hemisphere summer gross primary productivity for 2...

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Authors: Zhang, Yichen|||0000-0002-9095-0880; Piao, Shilong|||0000-0001-8057-2292; Sun, Yan; Rogers, Brendan M.|||0000-0001-6711-8466; Li, Xiangyi|||0000-0002-7639-7089; Lian, Xu|||0000-0002-1428-3529; Liu, Zhihua|||0000-0002-0086-5659; Chen, Anping|||0000-0003-2085-3863; Peñuelas, Josep|||0000-0002-7215-0150
Format: Article
Publication date:2022
Country:España
Institution:Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Repository:Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:ddd.uab.cat:299904
Online Access:https://ddd.uab.cat/record/299904
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1038/s41558-022-01374-w
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Climate-change ecology
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author Zhang, Yichen|||0000-0002-9095-0880
author2 Piao, Shilong|||0000-0001-8057-2292
Sun, Yan
Rogers, Brendan M.|||0000-0001-6711-8466
Li, Xiangyi|||0000-0002-7639-7089
Lian, Xu|||0000-0002-1428-3529
Liu, Zhihua|||0000-0002-0086-5659
Chen, Anping|||0000-0003-2085-3863
Peñuelas, Josep|||0000-0002-7215-0150
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author_browse Chen, Anping|||0000-0003-2085-3863
Li, Xiangyi|||0000-0002-7639-7089
Lian, Xu|||0000-0002-1428-3529
Liu, Zhihua|||0000-0002-0086-5659
Peñuelas, Josep|||0000-0002-7215-0150
Piao, Shilong|||0000-0001-8057-2292
Rogers, Brendan M.|||0000-0001-6711-8466
Sun, Yan
Zhang, Yichen|||0000-0002-9095-0880
author_facet Zhang, Yichen|||0000-0002-9095-0880
Piao, Shilong|||0000-0001-8057-2292
Sun, Yan
Rogers, Brendan M.|||0000-0001-6711-8466
Li, Xiangyi|||0000-0002-7639-7089
Lian, Xu|||0000-0002-1428-3529
Liu, Zhihua|||0000-0002-0086-5659
Chen, Anping|||0000-0003-2085-3863
Peñuelas, Josep|||0000-0002-7215-0150
author_role author
collection Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
description Climatic warming has greatly increased vegetation productivity in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere since the 1980s, but how long this positive relationship will continue remains unknown. Here we show changes in the effect of warming on Northern Hemisphere summer gross primary productivity for 2001-2100 using Earth system model outputs. The correlation between summer gross primary productivity and temperature decreases in temperate and boreal regions by the late twenty-first century, generally becoming significantly negative before 2070 in regions <60° N, though Arctic gross primary productivity continues to increase with further summer warming. The time when the correlation becomes negative is generally later than the time when summer temperature exceeds the optimal temperature for vegetation productivity, suggesting partial mitigation of the negative vegetation impacts of future warming with photosynthetic thermal acclimation. Our findings indicate that vegetation productivity could be impaired by climate change in the twenty-first century, which could negatively impact the global land carbon sink.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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institution Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
instname_str Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
language eng
network_acronym_str ES
network_name_str España
oai_identifier_str oai:ddd.uab.cat:299904
publishDate 2022
publishDateSort 2022
reponame_str Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB
spelling Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere Future reversal of warming-induced vegetation productivity enhancements in the Northern Hemisphere Zhang, Yichen|||0000-0002-9095-0880 Piao, Shilong|||0000-0001-8057-2292 Sun, Yan Rogers, Brendan M.|||0000-0001-6711-8466 Li, Xiangyi|||0000-0002-7639-7089 Lian, Xu|||0000-0002-1428-3529 Liu, Zhihua|||0000-0002-0086-5659 Chen, Anping|||0000-0003-2085-3863 Peñuelas, Josep|||0000-0002-7215-0150 Climate-change ecology Climatic warming has greatly increased vegetation productivity in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere since the 1980s, but how long this positive relationship will continue remains unknown. Here we show changes in the effect of warming on Northern Hemisphere summer gross primary productivity for 2001-2100 using Earth system model outputs. The correlation between summer gross primary productivity and temperature decreases in temperate and boreal regions by the late twenty-first century, generally becoming significantly negative before 2070 in regions <60° N, though Arctic gross primary productivity continues to increase with further summer warming. The time when the correlation becomes negative is generally later than the time when summer temperature exceeds the optimal temperature for vegetation productivity, suggesting partial mitigation of the negative vegetation impacts of future warming with photosynthetic thermal acclimation. Our findings indicate that vegetation productivity could be impaired by climate change in the twenty-first century, which could negatively impact the global land carbon sink. https://ddd.uab.cat/record/299904 https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1038/s41558-022-01374-w
spellingShingle Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere
Zhang, Yichen|||0000-0002-9095-0880
Climate-change ecology
title Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere
title_full Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere
title_fullStr Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere
title_full_unstemmed Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere
title_short Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere
title_sort Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere
topic Climate-change ecology
topic_facet Climate-change ecology
url https://ddd.uab.cat/record/299904
https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1038/s41558-022-01374-w