Post-growth
Existing climate mitigation scenarios assume future rates of economic growth that are significantly higher than what has been experienced in the recent past. In this article we explore how assuming lower rates of growth, in line with the hypothesis of secular stagnation, changes the range of mitigat...
| Authors: | ; ; ; |
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| Format: | Article |
| Publication date: | 2024 |
| Country: | España |
| Institution: | Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona |
| Repository: | Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB |
| Language: | English |
| OAI Identifier: | oai:ddd.uab.cat:286525 |
| Online Access: | https://ddd.uab.cat/record/286525 https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.004 |
| Access Level: | Open access |
| Keyword: | Post-growth Low growth Degrowth Climate change Mitigation scenarios Post-pandemic scenarios |
| _version_ | 1878735352797069312 |
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| author | Slameršak, Aljoša|||0000-0001-5643-0331 |
| author2 | Kallis, Giorgos|||0000-0003-0688-9552 O'neill, Daniel W. Hickel, Jason|||0000-0002-7490-9757 |
| author2_role | author author author |
| author_browse | Hickel, Jason|||0000-0002-7490-9757 Kallis, Giorgos|||0000-0003-0688-9552 O'neill, Daniel W. Slameršak, Aljoša|||0000-0001-5643-0331 |
| author_facet | Slameršak, Aljoša|||0000-0001-5643-0331 Kallis, Giorgos|||0000-0003-0688-9552 O'neill, Daniel W. Hickel, Jason|||0000-0002-7490-9757 |
| author_role | author |
| collection | Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB |
| description | Existing climate mitigation scenarios assume future rates of economic growth that are significantly higher than what has been experienced in the recent past. In this article we explore how assuming lower rates of growth, in line with the hypothesis of secular stagnation, changes the range of mitigation possibilities. We compare scenarios with moderate and strong policy ambition under both high-growth and low-growth assumptions. The results show that low growth makes it more feasible to decrease emissions in a way that is consistent with 1.5°C-2°C of warming. Moreover, low growth reduces the need to rely on unprecedented buildout of low-carbon energy infrastructure, and the unprecedented rates of energy-GDP decoupling that characterize existing scenarios. By contrast, pursuing higher growth rates, such as those represented in IMF projections, jeapordizes the Paris Agreement. The challenge is that lower growth is commonly associated with recession, which raises concerns about equity between and within countries, social stability, and the ability to finance a low-carbon energy transition. Recent literature on achieving a ''post-growth'' transition points to novel policies that could address these problems, which should be explored and evaluated in future mitigation scenarios. |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| format | article |
| id | ES_7b0b5bee4428cbf9f3ccbf3ebdde2c2d |
| institution | Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona |
| instname_str | Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona |
| language | eng |
| network_acronym_str | ES |
| network_name_str | España |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:ddd.uab.cat:286525 |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| reponame_str | Dipòsit Digital de Documents de la UAB |
| spelling | Post-growth A viable path to limiting global warming to 1.5°C Slameršak, Aljoša|||0000-0001-5643-0331 Kallis, Giorgos|||0000-0003-0688-9552 O'neill, Daniel W. Hickel, Jason|||0000-0002-7490-9757 Low growth Degrowth Climate change Mitigation scenarios Post-pandemic scenarios Existing climate mitigation scenarios assume future rates of economic growth that are significantly higher than what has been experienced in the recent past. In this article we explore how assuming lower rates of growth, in line with the hypothesis of secular stagnation, changes the range of mitigation possibilities. We compare scenarios with moderate and strong policy ambition under both high-growth and low-growth assumptions. The results show that low growth makes it more feasible to decrease emissions in a way that is consistent with 1.5°C-2°C of warming. Moreover, low growth reduces the need to rely on unprecedented buildout of low-carbon energy infrastructure, and the unprecedented rates of energy-GDP decoupling that characterize existing scenarios. By contrast, pursuing higher growth rates, such as those represented in IMF projections, jeapordizes the Paris Agreement. The challenge is that lower growth is commonly associated with recession, which raises concerns about equity between and within countries, social stability, and the ability to finance a low-carbon energy transition. Recent literature on achieving a ''post-growth'' transition points to novel policies that could address these problems, which should be explored and evaluated in future mitigation scenarios. https://ddd.uab.cat/record/286525 https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.004 |
| spellingShingle | Post-growth Slameršak, Aljoša|||0000-0001-5643-0331 Post-growth Low growth Degrowth Climate change Mitigation scenarios Post-pandemic scenarios |
| title | Post-growth |
| title_full | Post-growth |
| title_fullStr | Post-growth |
| title_full_unstemmed | Post-growth |
| title_short | Post-growth |
| title_sort | Post-growth |
| topic | Post-growth Low growth Degrowth Climate change Mitigation scenarios Post-pandemic scenarios |
| topic_facet | Post-growth Low growth Degrowth Climate change Mitigation scenarios Post-pandemic scenarios |
| url | https://ddd.uab.cat/record/286525 https://dx.doi.org/urn:doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.004 |