Smooth Transition Regression models: Theory and Applications in JMulti

This tutorial aims to analyze nonlinear models of Smooth Transition Regression with JMulTi and contribute to the understanding of STR specification, from the estimation until the evaluation cycle of these models. It provides pedagogical explanations, combining theoretical concepts and empirical resu...

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Authors: Menezes, Rui; Ferreira, Nuno; Souza, Adriano Mendonça; Souza, Francisca Mendonça
Format: Article
Status:Published version
Publication date:2020
Country:Brasil
Institution:UFSM
Repository:Revista Ciência e Natura (Online)
Language:English
OAI Identifier:oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/40466
Online Access:https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaenatura/article/view/40466
Access Level:Open access
Keyword:Smooth transition
Structural Break
Nonlinearity
Time Series
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author Menezes, Rui
author2 Ferreira, Nuno
Souza, Adriano Mendonça
Souza, Francisca Mendonça
author2_role author
author
author
author_browse Ferreira, Nuno
Menezes, Rui
Souza, Adriano Mendonça
Souza, Francisca Mendonça
author_facet Menezes, Rui
Ferreira, Nuno
Souza, Adriano Mendonça
Souza, Francisca Mendonça
author_role author
collection Revista Ciência e Natura (Online)
description This tutorial aims to analyze nonlinear models of Smooth Transition Regression with JMulTi and contribute to the understanding of STR specification, from the estimation until the evaluation cycle of these models. It provides pedagogical explanations, combining theoretical concepts and empirical results coherently. Especially in economic relationships, where an asymmetric behaviour with distinct effects is often found on contractions and expansions. As economic series generally present asymmetric/nonlinear behaviour, Smooth Transition Regression (STR) models provide a flexible empirical strategy that allows capturing the impacts of possible types of asymmetry in the data, Souza (2016).An overview of theory and applications in software is described. These nonlinear models describe in-sample movements of the stock returns series better than the corresponding linear model. The data used in this study consist of daily prices index from January 02, 1995 to March 29, 2013, a total of 4761 observations, from Germany (DAX30). The data was collected from the DataStream database considering 5 days a week. The data (price index) is converted to base 100 and the yields are then calculated based on the first differences in the log price series. 10-year interest rates treasury bond regarding the same markets identified has also been collected for the same period.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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instname_str Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM)
language eng
network_acronym_str BR
network_name_str Brasil
oai_identifier_str oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/40466
publishDate 2020
publishDateSort 2020
publisher Universidade Federal de Santa Maria
publisherStr Universidade Federal de Santa Maria
reponame_str Revista Ciência e Natura (Online)
spelling Smooth Transition Regression models: Theory and Applications in JMulti Menezes, Rui Ferreira, Nuno Souza, Adriano Mendonça Souza, Francisca Mendonça Smooth transition Structural Break Nonlinearity Time Series This tutorial aims to analyze nonlinear models of Smooth Transition Regression with JMulTi and contribute to the understanding of STR specification, from the estimation until the evaluation cycle of these models. It provides pedagogical explanations, combining theoretical concepts and empirical results coherently. Especially in economic relationships, where an asymmetric behaviour with distinct effects is often found on contractions and expansions. As economic series generally present asymmetric/nonlinear behaviour, Smooth Transition Regression (STR) models provide a flexible empirical strategy that allows capturing the impacts of possible types of asymmetry in the data, Souza (2016).An overview of theory and applications in software is described. These nonlinear models describe in-sample movements of the stock returns series better than the corresponding linear model. The data used in this study consist of daily prices index from January 02, 1995 to March 29, 2013, a total of 4761 observations, from Germany (DAX30). The data was collected from the DataStream database considering 5 days a week. The data (price index) is converted to base 100 and the yields are then calculated based on the first differences in the log price series. 10-year interest rates treasury bond regarding the same markets identified has also been collected for the same period. Universidade Federal de Santa Maria https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaenatura/article/view/40466 10.5902/2179460X40466
spellingShingle Smooth Transition Regression models: Theory and Applications in JMulti
Menezes, Rui
Smooth transition
Structural Break
Nonlinearity
Time Series
status_str publishedVersion
title Smooth Transition Regression models: Theory and Applications in JMulti
title_full Smooth Transition Regression models: Theory and Applications in JMulti
title_fullStr Smooth Transition Regression models: Theory and Applications in JMulti
title_full_unstemmed Smooth Transition Regression models: Theory and Applications in JMulti
title_short Smooth Transition Regression models: Theory and Applications in JMulti
title_sort Smooth Transition Regression models: Theory and Applications in JMulti
topic Smooth transition
Structural Break
Nonlinearity
Time Series
topic_facet Smooth transition
Structural Break
Nonlinearity
Time Series
url https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaenatura/article/view/40466